SAF outlook by 2050

Dhanisha Juleemun, Mahmoud Abdelrahman

SAF outlook by 2050

Based on the impact assessment of the EU ReFuelEU Sustainable aviation fuel proposal, the projection of the European Union (made up of 27 member states) air transport energy mix is shown in the figure below, extending through 2050, and aligned with the policy framework which was finally agreed.

Key takeaways:

•In 2030, alcohol-to-jet (with 1.8% share) and hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids (HEFA) (1.6%) will be the main energy carriers consumed. Bio-based kerosene is expected to be imported in 2030,representing a 0.9% share of the total energy use in aviation. Note that bio-kerosene in this projection includes bio-based sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) produced from the following production pathways: HEFA, gasification and Fischer-Tropsch (FT), and alcohol-to-jet

•In 204

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