On March 20, 2024, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) announced a final rule for the Multi-Pollutant Emissions Standards for Model Years 2027 and Later Light-Duty (LD) and Medium-Duty (MD) Vehicles, which sets new standards to reduce air pollutant emissions from light-duty and medium-duty vehicles starting with model year 2027.
This new standard aims to significantly reduce emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG), hydrocarbons, nitrogen oxides (NOX), and particulate matter (PM2.5).
For light-duty vehicles, the standards target an industry-wide average of 85 grams per mile (g/mile) of CO2 by the model year 2032, which reflects a nearly 50% reduction from the projected emissions levels under the current standards for the model year 2026.
Light-duty vehicles (LDVs) GHG standards (CO2g/mile)
| 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 |
Cars | 139 | 125 | 112 | 99 | 86 | 73 |
Trucks | 184 | 165 | 146 | 128 | 109 | 90 |
Total LDVs fleet | 170 | 153 | 136 | 119 | 102 | 85 |
Source: SGS INSPIRE analysis of EPA regulations
For medium-duty vehicles, the expected outcome is an average emission of 274 g/mile of CO2 by model year 2032, marking a 44% decrease compared to the model year 2026 standards.
Medium-duty vehicles (MDVs) GHG standards (CO2g/mile)
|
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
Vans |
392 |
391 |
355 |
317 |
281 |
245 |
Pickups |
497 |
486 |
437 |
371 |
331 |
290 |
Total LDVs fleet |
461 |
453 |
408 |
353 |
314 |
274 |
Source: SGS INSPIRE analysis of EPA regulations
Additionally, the EPA has introduced the "Tier 4" pollutant emissions standards for non-methane organic gases (NMOG), NOX, and PM among other pollutants. For LDVs, the Tier 4 NMOG+NOX standards will require a reduction to a fleet average of 15 mg/mile by 2032, a 50% cut from the current 30 mg/mile under the Tier 3 standards. Medium-duty vehicles will be required a fleet average level of 75 mg/mile by 2033, which represents a reduction of 58% to 70% from the existing Tier 3 standards.
NMOG+NOx emission standards
Model year |
LDVs |
MDVs |
2027 |
25 |
175 |
2028 |
23 |
160 |
2029 |
21 |
140 |
2030 |
19 |
120 |
2031 |
17 |
100 |
2032 |
15 |
80 |
2033 and later |
15 |
75 |
Source: SGS INSPIRE analysis of EPA regulations
The Tier 4 standards include phase-in implementation schedules to give manufacturers additional time to adjust their product plans and apply new technologies to vehicles. For light-duty vehicles and trucks 20% of vehicles must meet Tier 4 standards in 2027, 40% in 2028, 60% in 2029, and 100% in 2030.
For more updated information about emission standards, and the evolving policies and regulations in the U.S. that are promoting the adoption of EVs, please refer to SGS INSPIRE's report.